Articles

Economy To Remain Devastated By Conflict

Yemen will remain mired in recession over the coming years, as the ongoing civil war prevents the economy from recovering. Violence in the country will delay much-needed economic diversification.

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Storage Drawdown Masks Continued Oversupply

Falling imports from OPEC will help tighten the regional European crude market in H117. However, a contraction of refining capacity and rising supplies domestically will limit growth in the price of Brent.

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Batteries & Microgrids To Offer Investment Opportunities

The formation of a solar JV in Australia to focus on microgrids and batteries aligns with our view that residential solar, battery storage and community-level energy projects are emerging as an investment brightspot within the Australian renewables...

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What Would It Take To Sustain The Growth Boom?

We forecast real GDP growth of 4.8% in FY2016/17 (July-June), marking an improvement from the 4.7% rate registered in FY2015/16, but see a slowdown to 4.1% growth over the following years. A number of factors such as continued low oil prices,...

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Debt Issuance To Cover Huge Fiscal Shortfalls

Oman will rely primarily on debt issuance to cover its large fiscal deficits over the coming years. We forecast a budget deficit of 12.2% of GDP in 2017 and staying in double digits until 2019. As well as turning to international debt markets to...

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Renewable Subsidy Scandal Risks Stability Of NI Executive

Northern Ireland's First Minister Arlene Foster faces a vote of no confidence that could bring down the governing Executive, and reignite political tensions that have been contained for a number of years. The scandal that risks Foster's position,...

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Five Key Themes In Asia Agribusiness

The agribusiness sector in Asia will rebound in 2017 after the 2015-2016 El Niño episode strongly impacted production and consumption across key markets in the region. In the longer term, the region will remain an outperformer globally in terms of...

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Rising Rates Over 2017 To Keep Inflation Subdued

The Central Bank of Oman will be forced to follow the Fed's tightening cycle over the coming months, despite low inflation and rising liquidity pressures at home. Combined with low commodity prices, the strength of the US dollar, and weaker economic...

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